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While we have been consistently wrong about this stock, we have consistently valued stocks under coverage based upon the discounted present value of their future cash flows. As the cost of content continues to be bid up, we expect Netflix to continue to burn cash to fund content acquisition, and the company acknowledged that this will persist for “many years”. . . We don’t expect Netflix to become meaningfully profitable on a cash basis for several years, and we don’t expect positive free cash flow for the remainder of this decade; even then, we think that positive free cash flow will remain elusive UNLESS the company decides to materially increase price and sacrifice growth. . . We think that Netflix is destined to be a cash burning high growth company until it changes its strategy and accepts its fate as a highly profitable slow growth company.” JPMorgan, Doug Anmuth (Overweight, price target raised to $178 from $175) “Content timing can shift subs quarter by quarter, but the underlying secular trend toward Internet TV remains very strong. NFLX’s 1Q net adds came in a bit below guidance & investor expectations in both US & Int’l, partly a function of lighter content releases in 1Q.
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